Reliability and Maintainability Symposium: ARS, Europe Europe

Track 1 Session 11
10:40 to 11:40 a.m. Friday March 28, 2008

Survival Analysis in Water Supply Networks

The problem of aging water supply networks affects almost all cities in developed countries. Different strategies can be used to apply the high investments required by network renewal in the best possible manner. Among them, one of the most important is the identification of influential factors in pipe failure risk and the subsequent possibility of forecasting the risk affecting different pipes. This requires the existence of adequate historical databases, which have not always existed, and the use of statistical survival models to identify these influential factors and to evaluate the pipes failure risk.

This session presents a case study is which the problems with data are discussed, and the selection and use of statistical models illustrate how this task can be accomplished.

Key Words: Water Supply, Survival Analysis, Life Tables, Cox Model

Andrs Carrin Garca, Ana Debn Aucejo and Liney Manjarrs
Polytechnic University of Valencia
Spain

Hernando Solano Hurtado
Universidad Diego Portales
Chile

 

 

 

 

 

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