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Track 2 Session 2
10:30 to 11:30 a.m. Wednesday March 26, 2008
Electrical Substation Reliability
Assessment Using the Analytical Approach and the Monte Carlo
Simulation Technique – A Real Case Evaluation
Today, there are excellent,
powerful, academic and commercial software tools for evaluating and
assessing the reliability of components and systems. However, for
the reliability and maintenance engineer it is always useful to know
the best methods or techniques, considerations, components modeling,
calculation steps and simulation types for assessing the reliability
of complex systems, in this case represented by CVG EDELCA
“Cuatricentenario 400/230 kV” power transmission substation.
This presentation emphasizes the comparison of two methods
used in reliability evaluation of complex systems: the analytical
calculation approach method and the Monte Carlo simulation method.
This main goal is achieved by confronting the final results
(indices). The link between quantitative reliability assessment and
maintenance strategy and scheduling optimization is also
highlighted.
Key Words: Real Data Reliability Assessment, Chronological
Monte Carlo Simulation, Algorithm, Analytical Calculations,
Comparison
Jorge A.
Thomas
CVG EDELCA
Venezuela |
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